Selected prediction

Over 1.5 goals

Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 8, while Arsenal have taken 15 points from their last 8. Manchester City average 3.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Arsenal average 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Manchester City won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Arsenal, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Manchester City to score about 1.5 and Arsenal about 1.1. We expect around 2.7 goals in total, so goals look likely.